News Image
Zee Business

Is Dalal Street really scared of war? Here's how Sensex performed during the 1999 Kargil conflict

Published on 29/04/2025 09:52 AM

History shows that markets can surprise, Sensex delivered massive returns during the 1999 Kargil conflict while global peers lagged. Here's what traders and investors must know.

As war fears resurface globally, Dalal Street veterans are asking: Is it time to panic or pounce?

Flashback to 1999, when India fought the Kargil War from May 3 to July 26, the Sensex jumped 37 per cent, stunning everyone. Global markets like the S&P 500 rose just 2 per cent and even gold fell by 11 per cent during the same time.

May 3, 1999: Pakistan’s infiltration detected

May 5, 1999: Capt. Saurabh Kalia captured; Kargil conflict begins

May 26, 1999: Indian Air Force launches air strikes

July 26, 1999: India's victory is declared

During the 84-day war:

Sensex soared 37 per cent (from 3378 to 4687)

Nifty Next 50 rose 25 per cent, Nifty 500 up 34 per cent

Gold Futures dropped 11 per cent, bucking safe-haven trends

The Indian stock market proved resilience even during national crises, outperforming global peers by a wide margin.

Tata Motors zoomed 92 per cent

Auto, engineering, mid-small caps outperformed

Banking sector remained rock solid

Quality large-cap stocks led the way as investors preferred companies with strong balance sheets and leadership.

Sharp correction seen from May 20-28, 1999

Sensex fell 12.5 per cent in 8 days

However, the index recovered completely before the war ended

Quick dips were buying opportunities, not reasons to panic.

1 week after war: Sensex down -2.4 per cent

1 month after war: +4.43 per cent

3 months after war: +5.32 per cent

Markets remained in an uptrend, proving that India's economic story was bigger than short-term noise.

Zee Business Research recommends:

Traders: Keep positions light, expect volatility

Investors: Treat sharp falls as golden buying opportunities

Stay invested in quality stocks with strong earnings visibility

History shows wars have triggered corrections  but smart investors who stayed put reaped big rewards.War fears create volatility, but India's market strength often shines through. Kargil War proved that confidence, not fear, builds long-term wealth.

Get Latest Business News, Stock Market Updates and Videos; Check your tax outgo through Income Tax Calculator and save money through our Personal Finance coverage. Check Business Breaking News Live on Zee Business Twitter and Facebook. Subscribe on YouTube.

LATEST NEWS