Published on 29/04/2025 09:52 AM
History shows that markets can surprise, Sensex delivered massive returns during the 1999 Kargil conflict while global peers lagged. Here's what traders and investors must know.
As war fears resurface globally, Dalal Street veterans are asking: Is it time to panic or pounce?
Flashback to 1999, when India fought the Kargil War from May 3 to July 26, the Sensex jumped 37 per cent, stunning everyone. Global markets like the S&P 500 rose just 2 per cent and even gold fell by 11 per cent during the same time.
May 3, 1999: Pakistan’s infiltration detected
May 5, 1999: Capt. Saurabh Kalia captured; Kargil conflict begins
May 26, 1999: Indian Air Force launches air strikes
July 26, 1999: India's victory is declared
During the 84-day war:
Sensex soared 37 per cent (from 3378 to 4687)
Nifty Next 50 rose 25 per cent, Nifty 500 up 34 per cent
Gold Futures dropped 11 per cent, bucking safe-haven trends
The Indian stock market proved resilience even during national crises, outperforming global peers by a wide margin.
Tata Motors zoomed 92 per cent
Auto, engineering, mid-small caps outperformed
Banking sector remained rock solid
Quality large-cap stocks led the way as investors preferred companies with strong balance sheets and leadership.
Sharp correction seen from May 20-28, 1999
Sensex fell 12.5 per cent in 8 days
However, the index recovered completely before the war ended
Quick dips were buying opportunities, not reasons to panic.
1 week after war: Sensex down -2.4 per cent
1 month after war: +4.43 per cent
3 months after war: +5.32 per cent
Markets remained in an uptrend, proving that India's economic story was bigger than short-term noise.
Zee Business Research recommends:
Traders: Keep positions light, expect volatility
Investors: Treat sharp falls as golden buying opportunities
Stay invested in quality stocks with strong earnings visibility
History shows wars have triggered corrections but smart investors who stayed put reaped big rewards.War fears create volatility, but India's market strength often shines through. Kargil War proved that confidence, not fear, builds long-term wealth.
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