News

HAL says will meet full year guidance but Morgan Stanley expects stock to fall another 20%Morgan Stanley sees further downside risk to Hindustan Aeronautics' share price as competition rises from the private sector and execution worries remain.By Hormaz Fatakia   February 5, 2026, 11:10:09 AM IST (Updated)2 Min ReadShares of Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL) Ltd. fell another 5.5% on Thursday, February 5, after the stock has been downgraded by brokerage firm Morgan Stanley. The stock is now down 11% in the last two sessions, after a 6% fall on Wednesday as well.

In a filing to the exchanges, HAL has reiterated that it will meet its guidance specified earlier for the full financial year.

The company went on to add that five LCA Mk1A aircraft are fully ready for delivery and have incorporated major contracted capabilities, in accordance with the agreed specifications.

"HAL is in active discussions with the Indian Air Force to deliver the aircraft at the earliest," HAL said, adding that the supply position from GE is positive and the future delivery outlook aligns with HAL's delivery plans.

Morgan Stanley has downgraded Hindustan Aeronautics to "under-weight" from its earlier rating of "equal-weight" and also cut its price target by 34% to ₹3,355 from ₹5,092 earlier. The revised price target implies a further 20% downside potential compared to Wednesday's closing price for HAL.

The brokerage wrote in its note that HAL has outperformed the Nifty by 4% on a year-to-date basis, while its consensus price-to-earnings multiple is down 15% over the last 12 months.

Hindustan Aeronautics stock price has further downside risk, according to Morgan Stanley, given the increased competition from the private sector, and if slower execution persists due to the high import dependance, as multiple countries increase their defence spend.

As a result, Morgan Stanley has reduced its Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimates for financial year 2027 by 2% and for financial year 2028 by 5%.

Hindustan Aeronautics' shares fell 6% on Wednesday after reports suggested that the company is no longer in the race to build India's fifth-generation stealth fighter jet or the Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA). Wednesday's fall wiped out ₹18,000 crore in Hindustan Aeronautics' market capitalization.

25 analysts have coverage on HAL, of which 21 still have a "buy" rating, while two each have a "hold" and "sell" recommendation.

Shares of Hindustan Aeronautics are now trading 5.6% lower at ₹3,982 and is the fourth-worst performing stock on the Nifty 500 index on Thursday.Continue ReadingFirst Published: Feb 5, 2026 8:27 AM ISTTagsHALHindustan Aeronautics Limited HALshare market today